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Thanks : NET rankings and records are accurate as of Sunday, March 6, 2022. Both reflect games against Division I teams only. Selection sheet information is sourced from WarrenNolan.com. Team logos are from SportsLogos.net by Chris Creamer.
teams with a gold background got automatic bids.
✴️ = new slice entrants
⬆️ and ⬇️ = seed movement of tranche returnees compared to Saturday tranche
(#) = Overall ranking of the top 16 teams (four seeds in each region)
Here’s a quick look at Saturday’s results that brought about changes in the field.
For starters, you no doubt knew that yesterday’s UNC-Duke game would be Mike Krzyzewski’s last game at Cameron Indoor Stadium, as ESPN had been hammering the fact for about two weeks. However, the world leader’s plans for the evening were ruined by a Texas-Kansas overtime game, which naturally spilled over into a slightly extended window of play the network set up for the occasion, a failure to putting the game on ESPN News, which resulted in it. being placed on ESPN2, rocking the final moments of a crucial Atlantic 10 game on streaming only, and then when the game actually arrived on the Mothership, the Tar Heels played their best game of the season and defeated the Blue Devils, 94-81. That game nearly blocked an offer for UNC, an eight seed today and with the ACC being mediocre to poor, Duke’s fate was likely sealed. The Blue Devils will not be higher than a 2.
In conference tournament games with bubble implications, Morehead State nearly made the OVC a two-candidate league, but bubble team fans were allowed to die after Murray State won at Evansville, 71-67 , to move to 30-2 this season. At the future Racers conference, Loyola will have the opportunity to make the Missouri Valley a one-bid conference. However, the Ramblers will have to defeat third-seeded Drake for the first time this year (2 p.m., CBS). So far, Loyola’s revenge tour has been a relative walk in the park, as the Ramblers have won rubber games against Bradley and Northern Iowa by 15 and 23.
The WCC is taking a day off today due to BYU’s “No Sunday” policy. That doesn’t matter to the Cougars this year, as San Francisco eliminated the Cougars in the pair’s vital quarterfinal on Saturday, 75-63. That result knocked the Dons out of the “Last Four In” group and kept BYU in the “First Four Out” bracket. Mark Pope’s side could find themselves on the pitch, but they’re going to need a lot of help.
There is only one new general team today, as Dayton replaced VCU. There’s a good chance they’ll fix the problem on the court in the Atlantic 10 semi-finals on Saturday. However, the Rams lost their first game overall as a furious comeback failed St. Louis, 69-65, as the Billikens led 21 with just under 16 minutes left in the second half. It was, for the record, the ESPN game streamed for UNC-Duke. As for the Flyers, they took advantage of their only meeting with regular-season champion Davidson, holding the Wildcats at bay, 82-76.
So now Dayton is second to last, just ahead of Michigan. Of course, with the top four being played at UD Arena, that would mean the Flyers would get a second top four game at home, the first being in 2015. They beat Boise State that season and ended up winning a round of 64 games against Providence. for good measure.
It ended up being quite a rough Saturday for many bubble teams. Florida and Indiana both lost close competition to Kentucky and Purdue, respectively, which would have been a major profile upgrade. Virginia Tech lost 63-59 to Clemson, which the Hokies couldn’t do. While the loss didn’t hurt their metrics much, quality wins are going to be a real problem for Tech, especially if he leaves the ACC Tournament early. Oregon was also carried by Washington State to Pullman, meaning their Pac-12 tournament title or bust for the Ducks.
Surprisingly, Virginia (18-12) and Oklahoma (17-14) are back in the “First Eight Out” after their respective victories over Louisville and Kansas State. Both teams have quality wins that should put them in the frame of teams like Virginia Tech and Washington State that are metric darlings.
But we still have to decide today…
Penn State (12-15, 7-12) at Rutgers (17-12, 11-8), 12 p.m. (BTN)
Michigan (16-13, 10-9) at Ohio State (19-9, 12-7), 12:30 p.m. (Fox)
Nebraska (9-21, 3-16) at Wisconsin (24-5, 15-4), 2 p.m. (BTN)
Maryland (15-15, 7-12) at Michigan State (19-11, 10-9), 4:30 p.m. (CBS)
Iowa (22-8, 12-7) at Illinois (21-8, 14-5), 7:30 p.m. (FS1)
Rutgers, with its six Quad 1 wins to five losses, is the first team out. And this despite their mediocre metrics and trio of Quad 3 and 4 losses. , away against the Top 40), matter the most. The Scarlet Knights are 4-4 in high quality games. Of course, a home loss to Penn State would be a fourth loss in Q3 or Q4.
16-13 Michigan is the last team to participate, but a loss at Ohio State would drop them to 4-10 in Quad 1 games with a 2-8 mark in those high-quality games. The Buckeyes, meanwhile, beat Michigan State on Thursday to snap a bad two-game skid that moved OSU from a 3-seeded to a 6-seeded in this projection. The Spartans, meanwhile, host the Maryland team that handed the Buckeyes the first of those two losses. Tom Izzo’s side have fallen to an 8/9 game at this point.
Wisconsin only needs to beat Nebraska at home to win the Big Ten regular season title and add another piece to their record for a No. 1 seed. If the Badgers lose, that opens the door. to Illinois, which hosts Iowa in the final game of the 2022 regular season (excluding late games scheduled by bubble teams).
Houston (26-4, 15-2) at Memphis (18-9, 12-5), 12 p.m. (CBS)
Tulane (13-13, 10-7) at SMU (21-7, 12-4), 3 p.m. (ESPN+ ($)
Houston finished as the top seed in the USA Track and Field Tournament in Fort Worth, but with a loss in Memphis today, the Cougars will have done it by going 1-3 against their main competition in the league race. A victory for Tiger would move them closer to ‘lockdown’ status, although they will have to avoid a bad loss at Texas next weekend. As for SMU, one of the “First Four Out,” the Mustangs will have to avoid suffering a loss at home to a tricky team from Tulane. The Green Wave can wrap up their first victorious regular season since 2012-13 with a win this afternoon.
See you Monday morning for a new parenthesis!